Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction 6/15/25 MLB Picks Today

The San Diego Padres are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, June 15^th at the Chase Field in the third game of this series, with the Dbacks having a 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance

The San Diego Padres’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres

Recent betting trends in games played between the San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks game

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 36-34 record this season and are sitting in 4^th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 20-17 home record and are 32-33 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-7 home victory over the Padres and have five straight wins. They are playing the Rockies and the Blue Jays next.

The Diamondbacks have a .255 batting average this season, a .333 OBP, and a .449 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 78 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 55, while Corbin Carroll adds a team-high 20 home runs.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 6-2 record, 3.18 ERA, and 0.99 WHIP. He has been better at home, with a 2.59 ERA in his seven home starts, and is coming off back-to-back shutout starts across 13 innings pitched. Merrill Kelly has a record of 9-4 with an ERA of 3.36 and 86 strikeouts in 16 appearances against the Padres in his career.

San Diego Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a 38-31 record this season and are sitting in third place in the NL West. They have a 17-19 road record, and are 28-39 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 7-8 road defeat by the Dbacks, and have 1-4 in their last 5 games. Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games, and are playing the Dodgers and the Royals next.

The Padres have a .247 batting average this season, a .315 OBP, and a .375 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.  Manny Machado leads the Padres with 83 hits, adding a team-high .318 batting average and a team-high 41 RBI. Fernando Tatis Jr. adds a team-high 13 home runs.

Nick Pivetta (R) will take the mound for the Padres, and he has a 6-2 record, 3.48 ERA, and 1.11 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 4.94 ERA across six road starts, and he has been terrible in his last two starts, having given up 9 runs across 10 innings of work. Nick Pivetta is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.63 and 12 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Diamondbacks in his career.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The home team has won each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games.
• The Padres have lost each of their last five day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five Sunday day road games against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won each of their last five Sunday games as road underdogs.
• The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 12 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Padres’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Diamondbacks’ last 14 day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (15).
• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (101).
• The Padres rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (487).
• The Padres rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (58).

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Dbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Padres, and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Arizona.

In this Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -130 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and very similar home/away splits. Both pitchers have been excellent this season, but Kelly for the Dbacks has been in amazing form, with back-to-back shutout starts, while Pivetta has been struggling lately. The Diamondbacks have been red-hot lately with five straight wins, and they have a better offense and are hitting better against right-handed pitching, but they have a weaker bullpen, so I like them in this spot, but only in the first 5 innings of the game.