Padres vs Dodgers Prediction 8/17/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17^th at the Dodger Stadium in the third game of this series, with the Dodgers having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 70-53 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL West. The Dodgers have a 40-24 home record and 60-59 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-0 home victory over the Padres, and have back-to-back wins. Over is 4-2-1 in their last 7 games, and are playing the Padres and the Rockies next.

The Dodgers have a .253 batting average this season, .331 OBP and .439 slugging percentage. LA’s pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.  Sohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 133 hits, in RBI, with 80 and in home runs, with 43. Freddie Freeman is the team’s best hitter with a .306 batting average.

Tyler Glasnow (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers, and he has a 1-1 record, 3.08 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

San Diego Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a 69-54 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL West. They have a 31-34 road record, and are 51-69 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 0-6 road defeat by the Dodgers, and have back-to-back losses. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Dodgers and the Giants next.

The Padres have a .251 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.  Manny Machado leads the Padres with 139 hits and team-high .294 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 72, adding a team-high 20 home runs.

Yu Darvish (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 2-3 record, 5.61 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last nine day games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have lost six of their last seven games at Dodger Stadium.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium following a loss.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine day games against the Padres at Dodger Stadium.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Dodgers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Padres have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have covered the run line each of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last seven games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Dodgers’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last seven day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five day games against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (612).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (635).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (909).

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings against the Padres, and are 7-2 in their 9 meetings this season. The Dodgers are also 6-1 in their last 7 meetings in Los Angeles and under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -155 home favorites. The Dodgers have stepped up in this crucial series for the top place of the NL West, and with back-to-back wins, have managed to get a one-win lead over the Padres in the standings. They now put Glasnow on the mound, who has been excellent at home, with a 2.15 ERA, while Darvish has been terrible on the road, with a 7.36 road ERA. The Dodgers also have the second-best offense in the league to offer Glasnow run support, and since I don’t wanna mess with their terrible bullpen, I like the Dodgers to be leading this game in the first 5 innings.