Padres vs Dodgers Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks Today

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Dodgers Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 40-28 on the year and play the Giants, Padres, and Nationals next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .265 on the season, have a .340 OBP, and a .457 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 77 hits and 39 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Andy Pages have combined for 143 hits and 81 RBI.

Justin Wrobleski gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Wrobleski’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 38-28 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Dodgers, and Royals next. The San Diego Padres are batting .249 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and a .378 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 81 hits and 39 RBI, while Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 133 hits and 53 RBI.

Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s first career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost three of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL West opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have lost nine of their last 10 day games against the Dodgers at Petco Park following a home win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against the Dodgers at Petco Park following a home win.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last five day games.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
• Gavin Sheets has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Dodgers.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Manny Machado ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (81) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Will Smith has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Petco Park against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Will Smith has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
• Will Smith has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Will Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Will Smith ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.423) this season.

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers are going to be favored in nearly every game because of their talent and being a huge public team. This isn’t a spot where they should be. Wrobleski has pitched once in each of the last three months and has been a mess through 15 frames, allowing 15 hits and 12 runs.

Vasquez has been respectable this season with a 3.69 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, and he’s even better at home, where he has a 3.45 ERA. The Padres have won six of the last seven games Vasquez has pitched. The Padres are also still one of the more talented teams in baseball, so them as an underdog is always intriguing. I’m not laying juice with the Dodgers in this spot. Give me the Padres.