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Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 6-21-24 Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks (37-38) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (49-25)
June 21, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -147 / Arizona Diamondbacks +124; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 21st at Citizens Bank Park. 

Diamondbacks Look to Move Back to .500

The Diamondbacks are looking to move back to .500 with a win in this game. The Diamondbacks pitching gave up only two runs and that was enough for the five run victory. Randal Grichuk finished with two hits and drove in two RBIs. The Diamondbacks are averaging 4.81 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.69 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th in the league while the pitching is ranked 22nd. Christian Walker has hit 17 home runs and driven in 50 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Diamondbacks will be Jordan Montgomery, who sits with a 5-4 record and an ERA of 6.00. In his last start against the White Sox, he went five innings giving up four hits and one run. 

Why Diamondbacks Will Win

  • The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Phillies.
  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in 12 of their last 18 games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Phillies Offense Needs To Be Better

The Phillies offense really struggled in the last game, and they are going to need to be a lot better here. The Phillies faced off against the San Diego Padres on Wednesday scoring only two runs and that led to three run defeat. The Phillies are averaging 5.0 runs while their ptichign is giving up 3.64 runs per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league while the pitching is ranked 3rd in the league. Bryce Harper has hit 17 home runs and driven in 48 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start fo the Phillies will be Taijuan Walker who sits with a 3-2 record and an ERA of 5.33. In his last start against the Baltimore Orioles, he went 5.2 innings, giving up six hits and three runs. 

Why the Phillies Will Win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last 12 Friday road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a road win.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Diamondbacks are going to find success here. I don’t trust Walker, who sits with an ERA of 5.33, and even though he gave up only three runs in his last start, he’s going to get up more than that here. Montgomery sure looked impressive in his last start, giving up only one run, and he’s going to really step up here. The Phillies offense is going to be the difference as the Diamondbacks will get the job done. 

 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Diamondbacks ML

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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