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Phillies vs Orioles Prediction 8-5-25 MLB Picks

Baltimore Orioles (51-62) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (64-48)
August 5, 2025 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -145 / Baltimore Orioles +119; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Orioles Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Dean Kremer for the start here, and Kremer is 8-7 with a 4.27 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. This will be Kremer’s second career start against the Phillies. Taijuan Walker will start this one for the Phillies and is 3-5 with a 3.82 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Walker is 2-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 25 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to rebound from a 13-3 loss at the hands of the Phillies on Monday to sit at 51-62 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head home for a series against the Athletics.

Orioles Drop 4 Of Their Last 5 Games

Adley Rutschman has 62 hits with 15 doubles, 8 homers, and 25 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 107 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 14 homers, and 43 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers, and 15 RBIs, and Gunnar Henderson has 98 strikeouts, while Holliday has a team-high 104 strikeouts as well this season. Heston Kjerstad added 4 homers and 19 RBIs while Jordan Westburg has 12 home runs and 27 RBIs this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday night games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles against NL opponents.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Double in each of the Orioles’ last six games as underdogs.
  • Dean Kremer has recorded a win in seven of his last eight Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their series-opening win over the Orioles to sit at 64-48 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Phillies String Together Back-To-Back Wins

Nick Castellanos has 112 hits with 23 doubles, including 15 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 104 hits with a team-high 38 home runs and 88 RBIs, but also has a team-high 131 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 25 doubles, 16 home runs, and 47 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 128 hits with a team-high 25 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles, and Bryson Stott has 12 doubles, 2 triples, 7 homers, and 43 RBIs, while Stott also has 17 stolen bases this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last nine games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have lost each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday games against American League opponents.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances at Citizens Bank Park against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against the Orioles.
  • Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (40) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Four of the Orioles’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Phillies’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Phillies vs Orioles Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I thought that Monday’s game was going to be lower-scoring before it turned into a blowout, but I think that Tuesday’s matchup lives up to that high-scoring nature once again. Kremer’s issues this season, for the most part, have played out on the road, and Taijuan Walker has allowed 7 home runs in his last three starts overall. These are two teams that have the ability to pour on the runs, so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 9.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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