Pittsburgh Pirates (10-5) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (8-7)
April 14, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -179 / Pittsburgh Pirates +151; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pirates vs Phillies prediction.
Pirates Betting Preview
The Pirates are 10-5 on the season and play the Mets next. The Pirates have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Pirates are 1-5 this season when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 17 hits and 11 RBI, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Oneil Cruz have combined for 32 hits and 13 RBI. Mitch Keller gets the ball for the Pirates, and he is 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Keller is 0-3 with a 5.74 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.
Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies are 8-7 on the season and play the Rockies next. The Phillies have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Phillies have won 8 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 16 hits and 3 RBI, while Kyle Schwarber and Brandon Marsh have combined for 29 hits and 15 RBI. Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Phillies, and he is 0-2 with a 1.89 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 4-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Pirates.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts
- The Phillies have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Pirates following a home win.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three day games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts
- The Pirates have won 12 of their last 14 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 15 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three day games at Citizens Bank Park.
Pirates vs Phillies prediction
The Pirates’ offense has cooled off over the last week or so, and Keller has allowed 10 earned runs in 17 innings this season. The Phillies are sowing flashes of putting things together, and Wheeler has allowed just 4 earned runs in 19 innings with 20 strikeouts. After three great starts and no run support, it’s about time the Phillies show up for Wheeler. I’ll side with the Phillies in this spot, and of course I’m laying the RL to shave down the juice.
