Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction 3/29/26 MLB Picks Today

The Texas Rangers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Recap

The Texas Rangers will start Mackenzie Gore in this one and Gore was 5-15 with a 4.17 ERA and 185 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Gore is 0-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 41 strikeouts. Jesus Luzardo will get the start for the Rangers and was 15-7 with a 3.92 ERA and 216 strikeouts last season. In his career, Luzardo is 1-2 with a 3.13 ERA and 24 strikeouts against the Phillies.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 win over the Phillies on Saturday to improve to 1-1 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Rangers Pick Up First W

Jake Burger has a team-high 5 hits with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs while Corey Seager has 4 hits with a solo home run. Brandon Nimmo and Andrew McCutchen each has 2 hits with McCutchen logging a double and an RBI while Kyle Higashioka, Josh Smith, Evan Carter, Danny Jansen and Wyatt Langford each have a base hit as well on the year. 

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as favorites against the Rangers following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to shake off their 5-4 loss to the Rangers on Saturday to drop to 1-1 this season. After this series, the Phillies will begin a set at home against the Washington Nationals. 

Phillies Looking To Take Rubber Match

Alec Bohm has a pair fo doubles with a home run and three RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has a home run and two RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 3 hits with 2 doubles and 2 RBIs while Justin Crawford and Bryson Stott each have 2 hits as well on the year. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last six games after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after going to extra innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against AL West opponents.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Kyle Schwarber ranked 2nd in the league in Home Runs (56) last season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rangers’ last seven road games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I just don’t know what to expect from Gore in his debut here and these Phillies have also seen him plenty over the years while the Phillies have one of their better lefties going in Luzardo, and Luzardo started strong last year before tailing off in the second half. I think that carries over here and the Phillies win the rubber match.