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Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction 5-23-24 Picks

Texas Rangers (24-26) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (36-14)
May 23, 2024 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -213 / Texas Rangers +177; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Rangers and Philadelphia Phillies meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers have lost 9 of their last 11 games and will play the Minnesota Twins and Arizona Diamondbacks after this. The Texas Rangers have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Texas Rangers have lost 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcus Semien leads the Texas Rangers with 57 hits and 34 RBI, while Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager have combined for 90 hits and 54 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are riding a 5-game winning streak and will play the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants after this. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 27 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 12 straight games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 15 of their last 17 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 61 hits and 46 RBI while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 94 hits and 46 RBI.

Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Andrew Heaney gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 0-5 with a 4.43 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Heaney has allowed 24 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 21.2 innings. Heaney has a 3.33 ERA and .265 allowed batting average in 24.1 road innings. This will be Heaney’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 5-3 with a 2.52 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Wheeler has allowed 18 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 23.1 innings. Wheeler has a 1.63 ERA and .159 allowed batting average in 38.2 home innings. Wheeler is 1-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Texas Rangers.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The home team has won each of the last seven games between the Rangers and Phillies.
  • The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against American League opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL West opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last five home games against AL West opponents.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his four previous home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last five home games against AL West opponents.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in five of the Phillies’ last six games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine home appearances.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Bryce Harper ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Marcus Semien has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rangers’ last five day games.
  • Andrew Heaney has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rangers’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Jung has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Rangers as underdogs.
  • Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Josh Jung has recorded at least one RBI in four of his five previous road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Rangers as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Adolis Garcia ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (272).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (258).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (19).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (68).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Texas Rangers and massive plus money is worth a look given what they’re capable of, but the offense is quiet at the moment and Andrew Heaney hasn’t pitched great this season. The Philadelphia Phillies are one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and the offense is steamrolling, scoring no less than 4 runs in each of their last 12 games. Zack Wheeler also has an ERA well under 3, and he’s been even better at home. As good as the Rangers can be, I’m not stepping in front of the Phillies in their current form, especially when they have the pitching edge. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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