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Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction 6/15/25 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (38-32) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (41-29)
June 15, 2025 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -187 / Toronto Blue Jays 152; Over/Under: 7.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 15th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-29 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-0 and 3-2. In their game two win, Philadelphia blew a 2-1 lead in the fifth inning, but they scored once in the eighth get the win. The Phillies recorded four hits in the game, and they were led by Kemp, Stott, and Kepler, who all had one RBI in the win. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Kerkering picked up the win and Strahm got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Cubs, but lost all three against the Pirates before that. Philadelphia has won four of its last five games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 323 runs with a .253 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 22 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 6-2 with a 2.85 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-32 this year after they lost game two by a score of 3-2 on Saturday. Toronto led 1-0 in the second inning, and they tied the game at two in the fifth, but went scoreless over the final four innings for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Guerrero and Straw, who both had one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Francis, who allowed one hit and two earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Green was charged with the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays swept the Cardinals in three games and won two out of three against the Twins. Toronto has split its last six games, and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 298 runs with a .254 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Bo Bichette has led Toronto with eight home runs and 40 RBIs, while George Springer has added 10 home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 82.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
  • The home team has won nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Blue Jays following a win.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against American League opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games.

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Phillies

  • The Blue Jays have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games as home favorites.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Three of the Phillies’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine road games against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Blue Jays and Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as home favorites.
  • Max Kepler has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Sunday appearances in day games at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
  • Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (83) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as underdogs.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against the Phillies.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his last 20 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Daulton Varsho has scored a run in each of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Alejandro Kirk ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.328) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (645).
  • The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (469).
  • The Blue Jays rank T29th in the league for triples this season (3).

Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Philadelphia has been able to get back on track by winning four of their last five games, and they will look for the series sweep in this one. The Phillies are 23-13 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 16-19 on the road. Toronto has surged in the AL East standings, and they are starting Berrios, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last three starts. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five. Take the under in this contest. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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