Phillies vs Cubs Prediction 6/10/25 MLB Picks Today

The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Cubs Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 40-26 on the year and play the Pirates, Brewers, and Mariners next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .257 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .441 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Chicago Cubs with 72 hits and 55 RBI, while Nico Hoerner and Kyle Tucker have combined for 136 hits and 69 RBI.

Colin Rea gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 4-2 with a 3.59 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. Rea is 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 38-28 on the year and play the Blue Jays, Marlins, and Mets next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .253 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 79 hits and 30 RBI while Nick Castellanos and Alec Bohm have combined for 139 hits and 54 RBI.

Mick Abel gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 1-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Abel’s first career game against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won 20 of their last 21 games at Citizens Bank Park following an extra-innings win.
• The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six night games at Citizens Bank Park after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday games.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of his last seven home appearances against former teams.
• Bryson Stott has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Cubs.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against former teams.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances against former teams.
• Trea Turner ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (79) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Ian Happ has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games against NL East opponents.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded an RBI in four of the Cubs’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last 10 Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine night games.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (21) this season.

Phillies vs Cubs Prediction

The Phillies have benefited in rough shape over the last two weeks, and while they’re a talented team that’s going to turn it around eventually, it’s hard to back them in their current form. Abel has been fantastic through 11.1 innings, but those are his only frames in the big leagues. The jury is still out, given the small sample size. Rea is far more trustworthy with his 3.59 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, and he has a 3.47 ERA in 23.1 road innings. We’re getting the slightly cheaper price with the team that’s playing the better baseball and has the more proven pitcher on the bump. I’ll side with the Cubs on Tuesday.