Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction 5/2/25 MLB Picks Today

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Diamondbacks Pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 17-14 on the year and play the Mets, Dodgers, and Giants next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .245 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .438 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 38 hits and 23 RBI, while Josh Naylor and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 66 hits and 44 RBI.

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 3-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 2-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-14 on the year and play the Rays, Guardians, and Cardinals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .251 on the season, have a .335 OBP, and a .384 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 34 hits and 11 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryson Stott have combined for 62 hits and 32 RBI.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 2-1 with a 5.09 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine home games following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost three of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Diamondbacks and Phillies.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a road win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
• Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one RBI in each of his six previous home appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Jesus Luzardo ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.73) this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ketel Marte has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gabriel Moreno has scored a run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Diamondbacks as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against the Phillies.
• Corbin Carroll ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Phillies are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and have Luzardo on the mound. Luzardo has been dealing, which includes just five earned runs allowed in his last 31.1 innings. Luzardo has 41 strikeouts in 36.1 innings this season.

With that said, the Diamondbacks are too talented a team to turn down often in the underdog role. Also, Kelly has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last four starts. The Diamondbacks have also won four of the six games Kelly has pitched this season. Also, in 110 at-bats against the current Phillies, Kelly is allowing a .236 batting average with 27 strikeouts. I’ll take my chances with the Diamondbacks and the plus money.