Phillies vs Padres Prediction 7/13/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the San Diego Padres on Sunday, July 13^th at the Petco Park in the third game of this series, with the Padres having a 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Padres Prediction. We will examine:

The San Diego Padres’ recent form and player performance

The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres game

San Diego Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a 52-43 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL West. They have a 31-17 home record and are 39-53 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 5-4 home victory over the Phillies, and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. They are playing the Marlins and the Nationals next.

The Padres have a .245 batting average this season, a .315 OBP, and a .375 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.  Manny Machado leads the Padres with 105 hits, adding a team-high 56 RBI and a team-high 17 home runs. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average

Nick Pivetta (R) will take the mound for the Padres, and he has a 9-2 record, 3.07 ERA, and 1.03 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 54-41 record this season and are sitting in second place in the NL East. They have a 24-25 road record, and are 40-52 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-5 road defeat by the Padres, and are 1-4 in their last 5 games. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games, and are playing the Angels and the Red Sox next.

The Phillies have a .256 batting average this season, .330 OBP, and .406 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 112 hits and in batting average with .291, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 69 RBI and a team-high 30 home runs.

Cristopher Sanchez (R) will take the mound for the Phillies, and he has a 7-2 record, 2.59 ERA, and 1.13 WHIP.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Padres’ last four games.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Padres’ last 13 games at Petco Park.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won six of their last seven games at Petco Park following a loss.
• The Padres have lost eight of their last 10 home games against the Phillies following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 home games following a home win.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Padres at Petco Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Phillies’ last seven day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Padres’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Phillies and Padres.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (670).
• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (872).
• The Phillies are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Phillies vs Padres Prediction

The Phillies are 8-4 in their last 12 meetings against the Padres, but the Padres are 3-2 in their 5 meetings this season. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Phillies vs Padres Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -130 road favorites. Philadelphia has a better overall record, but San Diego has been very strong at home, while Philadelphia is mediocre on the road. Both pitchers have been superb this season with a combined 5.66 ERA, and they have been in excellent form, as they have one earned run or less in their last 8 starts combined. In their previous start against the other team this season, they have also just one earned run, and the Padres have the second-best bullpen, which is weaker against lefties. I don’t expect a lot of runs in this game, so take the under 7.5 in this one.