Phillies vs Padres Prediction 7/2/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 2nd at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 45-39 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 4-0 on Monday. San Diego fell behind in the second inning, and their offense never showed up in the loss. The Padres recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Bogaerts, who went 3-4 in the loss. San Diego started Waldron, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Peralta and Morgan combined for 3.1 scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. San Diego has lost three of their last four games, and they are currently second in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 345 runs with a .247 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with 15 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 13 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego in game one is Nick Pivetta, who is 8-2 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 91.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Dylan Cease, who is 3-7 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 50-35 this season after they won game one by a score of 4-0. Philadelphia scored once in the second, twice in the fourth, and once in the fifth for the shutout win. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Castellanos, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the win. Philadelphia started Wheeler, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Banks closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Braves, but did get swept by the Astros before that. Philadelphia has won three of its last four games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 390 runs with a .254 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 25 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added 11 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for game one is Mick Abel, who is 2-1 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia in game two is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 6-2 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Padres

• The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have lost eight of their last nine games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Padres will beat the Phillies

• The Padres have won each of their last four games as underdogs on the first leg of a doubleheader.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Padres at Citizens Bank Park following a home win.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine Wednesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Padres’ last 10 games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Padres’ last 10 day games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against the Padres.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Padres.
• Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one Double in four of the Padres’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.

Phillies vs Padres Prediction 

The Phillies were able to pick up a shutout win to start this series on Monday night, and their pitching staff has been very good in recent games. Philadelphia is 27-14 at home this year, while San Diego is 20-25 on the road. The Padres have dropped three of their last four games, and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five. In game one, I will take the Padres with Pivetta, who has been very good so far this season. In game two, I will back the Phillies with Sanchez on the mound, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight.