Phillies vs Pirates Prediction 7/1/26 MLB Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 43-43 on the year and play the Nationals and Braves next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .258 on the season and have a .336 OBP and a .418 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 87 hits and 52 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn and Nick Gonzales have combined for 163 hits and 86 RBIs.

Paul Skenes gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 6-7 with a 3.10 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. Skenes is 0-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-38 on the year and play the Reds and Royals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .237 on the season, with a .303 OBP and a .403 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 95 hits and 45 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have combined for 165 hits and 82 RBI.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-1 with a 2.03 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 6-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 74 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Pirates have lost six of their last seven night games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have won five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Pirates.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four home games.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last eight Wednesday night games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday night games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Wednesday road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Pirates’ last six games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the last four games between the Pirates and Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Phillies’ last seven home games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Pirates’ last five night games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against the Pirates.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 19 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (30) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in four of the Pirates’ last five games.
• Paul Skenes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
• Jake Mangum has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
• Paul Skenes has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.398) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (824).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (768).
• The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (809).

Phillies vs Pirates Prediction

The Phillies are playing better ball, and Wheeler has been incredible this season, which includes a June in which he allowed 18 hits and 6 runs in 31.2 innings. The Phillies should be favoured. However, we’re getting plus money with Skenes, something you don’t see often. In fact, this will be just the 11th time in Skenes’ career that he’s been an underdog. Just the second time this season. I love my aces at low prices or plus money, and Skenes is one of the best arms in the sport. I’ll grab the more favorable price with the Pirates.