Pirates vs Mets Prediction 6/27/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 27th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 32-50 this year after they lost two out of three against the Brewers by scores of 5-4, 3-9, and 2-4. In their game three loss, Pittsburgh allowed four runs in the second inning and came up short in their comeback attempt. The Pirates recorded four hits in the game, and they were led by Horwitz and Pham, who both had one RBI in the loss. Pittsburgh started Skenes, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while three relievers combined for four scoreless innings. 

Prior to that series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Tigers. Pittsburgh has lost four of its last six games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 267 runs with a .228 batting average and a .302 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 13 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added eight home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 1-10 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 48-34 this season after they split four games with Atlanta by scores of 2-3, 4-7, 7-3, and 4-0. In their game four win, New York scored once in the fourth, once in the fifth, and twice in the seventh in the shutout win. The Mets recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by McNeil, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. New York started Canning, who left in the third inning with an injury, while Warren picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Phillies, and they were swept by the Braves. New York has lost three of their last five games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.21 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 364 runs with a .245 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 18 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 19 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 5-3 with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 90.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Pirates

• The Mets have won each of their last 14 games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have lost four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the Mets’ last nine games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games at PNC Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Mets and Pirates at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games.
• Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Mitch Keller has recorded a win in each of his three previous home appearances against the Mets.
• Oneil Cruz ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (26) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two road games against NL opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Jesse Winker has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
• Juan Soto ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (55).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (103).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.21).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (59).

Pirates vs Mets Prediction 

The Mets were able to win games three and four against Atlanta to get the series split earlier this week, and they are back in first place in the NL East. The Mets are 19-22 on the road this season, while the Pirates are 20-21 at home. Pittsburgh failed to give Skenes much run support in their last game, which is something they have had an issue with this year. The Pirates are starting Keller, who has allowed two earned runs in two straight starts, but Pittsburgh has lost 12 of his last 13 starts. New York is starting Peterson, who has allowed 5, 3, 0, and 3 earned runs in his last four outings. I don’t trust this Pittsburgh offense at all, so take the Mets -1.5 here.