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Pirates vs Rockies Prediction 5/14/26 MLB Picks Today

Colorado Rockies (17-26) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (23-20)
May 14, 2026 12:35 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -181 / Colorado Rockies 149; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 14th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 23-20 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-1 and 4-10. In game two, Pittsburgh led 3-0 in the fourth inning, but they allowed six runs in the fifth and never recovered for the loss. The Pirates recorded six hits and they committed one error, while they were led by O’Hearn, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the game. Keller allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Bidois allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Giants, but did win two out of three against the Diamondbacks before that. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 213 runs with a .248 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz has led the Pirates with 10 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 10 home runs and 28 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Carmen Mlodzinski, who is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 40.0 innings pitched this year. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 17-26 this season after they won game two by a score of 10-4 last night. Colorado scored six runs in the fifth inning and they added four more in the 8th/9th innings to seal the win. The Rockies recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Moniak, who went 3-5 with one home run and five RBIs. Quintana allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Senzatela picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Colorado lost two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Mets. 

This season, Colorado has a 4.77 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while they have scored 186 runs with a .249 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Mickey Moniak has led the Rockies with 12 home runs and 26 RBIs, while TJ Rumfield has added six home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Chase Dollander, who is 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 43.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last eight Thursday day road games against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have won seven of their last eight day games against the Rockies at PNC Park following a loss.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Rockies.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at PNC Park.
  • The Pirates have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Pirates have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Rockies.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Rockies have won nine of their last 12 Thursday games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Thursday day games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Rockies have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Pirates’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rockies’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six day games at PNC Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight day games between the Rockies and Pirates at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Jared Triolo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Thursday day appearances.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Rumfield has hit a home run in two of the Rockies’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake McCarthy has recorded a hit in each of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction 

Colorado was able to snap their losing streak by scoring 10 runs on Wednesday and they will look for the series win here. The Rockies are 9-15 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 12-10 at home. Pittsburgh has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they are starting Mlodzinski, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Dollander has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Rockies here, as Dollander has been very solid for them. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Rockies ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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