Pirates vs Tigers Prediction 7/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 23rd at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 41-61 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-0 and 8-5. In their game two win, Pittsburgh scored the first five runs in the game, and they were able to cruise to the win. The Pirates recorded 14 hits in the game, and they were led by Horwitz, Reynolds, and Pham, who all had two RBIs in the win. Pittsburgh started Keller, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Bednar got the save in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates lost all three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Twins. Pittsburgh has split its last six games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 344 runs with a .231 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 16 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 10 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 6-5 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 101.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 60-42 this season after they lost game two by a score of 8-5 on Tuesday night, as their recent struggles continue. Detroit cut the deficit to 5-3 and 8-5, but couldn’t find a big hit in the ninth with runners on. The Tigers recorded 10 hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Rogers, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Detroit started Mize, who allowed 10 hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Hernandez allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Mariners. Detroit has lost eight of its last nine games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 490 runs with a .249 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 25 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 21 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Troy Melton, who is making his first appearance for Detroit this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Pirates

• The Pirates have lost each of their last nine Wednesday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have won each of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs against the Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances with the Pirates as home underdogs.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 18 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in four of the Pirates’ last five games as home underdogs.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers’ last five day games.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pirates vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit has struggled to find victories over the last few series, but their loss on Tuesday was easily their worst. The Tigers made a number of crucial mistakes, and you could tell they weren’t focused, which led to another loss. Detroit is 28-24 on the road this year, while Pittsburgh is 28-24 at home. Pittsburgh came into this series playing very poorly, but they have a chance to collect a sweep here. The Pirates are starting Falter, who has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. Detroit is going with Melton, who is making his MLB debut. This is a very tough game to get a read on, but I do think Detroit found some momentum at the plate on Tuesday, and I think they will be sharper behind Melton in his first start. Take the Tigers -1.5 here.