Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds 9/27/22 MLB Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Tuesday in MLB action at PNC Park. The Cincinnati Reds need a win after losing 11 of their last 15 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates need a win after losing 9 of their last 11 games.

The Cincinnati Reds have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. The Reds have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Kyle Farmer leads the Reds with 126 hits and 74 RBI, while Jonathan India and Nick Senzel have combined for 179 hits and 64 RBI. Hunter Greene gets the ball, and he is 4-13 with a 4.91 ERA and 146 strikeouts this season. This will be Greene’s second career game against the Pirates.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Pirates have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 137 hits and 60 RBI, while Ke’Bryan Hayes and Michael Chavis have combined for 211 hits and 90 RBI. Mitch Keller gets the ball, and he is 5-12 with a 3.99 ERA and 128 strikeouts this season. Keller is 1-4 with a 7.36 ERA and 39 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.

The Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 road games and 4-13 in their last 17 overall. The Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games and 16-42 in their last 58 overall. The under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall. The over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 overall. The Reds are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams, but it’s fair to say the Pittsburgh Pirates have the edge here on the mound, and they’re at home. Hunter Greene has had issues this season with his 4.91 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .229 allowed batting average. Mitch Keller has been sharper with a 3.99 ERA, and he’s allowed just 5 runs in his last 25 innings. If forced to pick, give me the Pirates.