Milwaukee Brewers (14-6) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (11-11)
April 22, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -130 / Milwaukee Brewers +110; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 22nd at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in this series.
Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11-11 this season and they have lost six games in a row. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series loss to the Red Sox, where they lost all three games by scores of 6-1, 4-2, and 8-1. Prior to that series, the Pirates were swept by the Mets on the road. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 96 runs with a .239 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Connor Joe is batting .286 with two home runs and 12 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jared Jones, who is 1-2 with a 3.13 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP over 23.0 innings pitched this season.
Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 14-6 this year and they have won four games in a row. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against the Cardinals, where they won all three games by scores of 2-0, 12-5, and 2-1. Prior to that series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Padres and won two out of three against the Orioles. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.52 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 114 runs with a .275 batting average and a .348 on base percentage. William Contreras is batting .354 with four home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Joe Ross, who is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this year.
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts
- The Pirates have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as home favorites.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road night games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 15 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Pirates vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this series playing great baseball so far this season and they are 10-2 on the road. The Brewers have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last four games and their team ERA is 3.52. Pittsburgh started the season playing well, but they have lost six games in a row. The Pirates have really struggled offensively during this losing streak, scoring two runs or fewer in five straight. Pittsburgh is starting Jared Jones, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all four starts this year. Milwaukee is going with Joe Ross, who has allowed eight earned runs and 14 hits in his last two starts (11.0 IP). The Brewers are red hot right now, but I like how Jones has pitched early in the season. Take the Pirates here.
