Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets Prediction 7-6-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 6th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Pirates Look to Keep the Offense Going 

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 42-45 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Pittsburgh won the first game in this series by a score of 14-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Cardinals, lost two out of three against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Reds. Pittsburgh is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are third in the NL Central. 

The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 358 runs with a .231 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .280 with 16 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh has scored at least four runs in seven of their last ten games. 

Mets are Trying to Get Back on Track 

The New York Mets are 42-44 this season and they have lost three games in a row. New York dropped the first game in this series and they allowed 14 runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Mets split four games against the Nationals, lost two out of three against the Astros, and won both games against the Yankees. New York is 2-5 in their last seven games and they are third in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 416 runs with a .246 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .245 with 18 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 4-6 with a 3.87 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 88.1 innings pitched this year. Falter has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 3-0 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this season. Peterson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. 

Why the Mets will beat the Pirates

• The Pirates have lost each of their last six games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last five day games against the Pirates following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Pirates.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Mets following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six home games against National League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in four of the Pirates’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Pirates’ last 10 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael A. Taylor has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has scored at least one run in eight of the Pirates’ last nine home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Pirates’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jack Suwinski has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games as favorites against the Pirates.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances at PNC Park.
• Pete Alonso has recorded two hits in each of his last four road appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
• Jeff McNeil has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two road games against the Pirates.
• Harrison Bader has scored a run in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets Prediction 

New York was one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last few weeks, but they have lost three games in a row and they were blown out in their loss on Friday. The Mets are 21-19 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 21-22 at home. Pittsburgh is trying to hang around in the NL Central race, but their offense has been very inconsistent. Both of these starting pitchers have been decent this season, but Falter definitely has a bigger sample size. Peterson has an elevated WHIP, but he has been great at limiting runs over his last five starts. My Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets prediction is for the Mets to win.