Rangers vs Astros Prediction 7/11/26 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros and Texas Rangers meet Saturday in MLB action at Globe Life Field. Here’s a Rangers vs Astros Prediction. This article will include a Rangers vs Astros Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 46-50 on the year and play the Orioles and Marlins next. The Houston Astros are batting. 241 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .410 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 4.81 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 107 hits and 68 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 165 hits and 105 RBI.

Peter Lambert gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 7-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. Lambert is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 48-46 on the year and play the Braves and White Sox next. The Texas Rangers are batting .244 on the season, with a .320 OBP and a .397 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers’ pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Josh Jung leads the Texas Rangers with 98 hits and 34 RBI, while Jake Burger and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 169 hits and 90 RBI.

Kumar Rocker gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 2-7 with a 3.95 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. This will be Rocker’s second career game against the Houston Astros.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have lost seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five night games following a win.
• The Astros have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Astros have won 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday night games.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in five of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last six games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Astros’ last 11 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last 11 night games against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Joc Pederson has hit at least one home run in three of the Rangers’ last four games against the Astros.
• Kumar Rocker has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros’ last five games against the Rangers.
• Peter Lambert has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last seven games as underdogs.
• Peter Lambert has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Rangers vs Astros Prediction

The Rangers are playing better ball this week, but the value is with the Astros and the plus money. Lambert has been sharper than Rocker this season with a 3.26 ERA and 1.15 WHIP compared to a 3.95 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Also, Rocker has a 4.20 ERA and a .247 allowed batting average at home this season through 49.1 innings. Through 26.1 innings on the road, Lambert has a 3.08 ERA and a .214 allowed batting average. Two teams that run hot and cold, I’ll take my chances with the sharper pitcher and the more favorable price. Give me the Astros.