Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/28/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 28, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays (26-28, 10-16 Away) surprised the San Diego Padres with a three-game series sweep, but then were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays. After opening the current series against the Texas Rangers with a 2-1 win, the Blue Jays fell to a 2-0 defeat on Tuesday. Bowden Francis pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk. Chad Green took the loss.

This year, the Blue Jays average 3.91 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .246/.318/.375 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Blue Jays’ staff has a 4.12 ERA (24th) and 1.21 WHIP (11th). Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with a .270 batting average, four home runs, and 25 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays is Eric Lauer, who is 1-1 in two starts this season, with a 3.31 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 16.1 innings.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers (27-29, 18-11 Home) ended a six-game losing run (their longest of the year) with a 5-4 victory against the White Sox, avoiding getting swept along the way. The Rangers briefly returned to losing ways in a 2-1 loss to the Blue Jays, but responded with a 2-0 win last night. Nathan Eovaldi pitched for 2.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on two hits with two strikeouts and one walk. He exited the game with right triceps fatigue. Luke Jackson was credited with the win.

This season, the Rangers average 3.33 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .222/.284/.362 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 3.31 ERA (6th) and 1.16 WHIP (5th). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .211 batting average, seven home runs, and 27 RBI this season.

Tyler Mahle will take the mound for the Rangers on Wednesday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 5-2 record in 11 starts this year with a 1.80 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 60.0 innings.

Why the Rangers will beat the Blue Jays

• The Rangers have won seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Rangers following a loss.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Rangers’ last 11 home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against the Rangers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Blue Jays’ last 16 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 28th in the league for hits this season (401).
• The Rangers rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (180).
• The Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (76).
• The Blue Jays rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (154).

Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. I am backing the Rangers here because of their excellent defense and teh fact that Tyler Mahle is starting. Mahle allowed more than three runs in a game just once this season, and it was in his previous start, so I am sure he will bounce back in this one. Eric Lauer, on the other hand, primarily serves as a reliever for the Blue Jays, so I don’t believe he will pitch for more than 4.0 innings here. Texas should score two or three runs off him early on. Back the hosts to win.