
Rangers vs Phillies Prediction 8/9/25 MLB Picks Today
Philadelphia Phillies (66-49) vs. Texas Rangers (60-57)
August 9, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -137 / Philadelphia Phillies 112; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 9th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 60-57 this season after they lost game one by a score of 9-1 on Friday night. Texas tied the game at one in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings in the loss. The Rangers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Jung, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. Texas started Kelly, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Curvelo allowed five earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Rangers won two out of three against the Yankees, but did lose three out of four against the Mariners before that. Texas has split their last six games and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 478 runs with a .232 batting average and a .301 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 16 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jacob deGrom, who is 10-4 with a 2.80 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 66-49 this year after they won game one in blowout fashion on Friday to start this series. The Phillies pulled away in the fourth inning and they piled on in the ninth for the easy win. Philadelphia recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Turner, who went 2-4 with one home run and five RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Strahm and Kerkering picked up holds.
Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Tigers. Philadelphia has won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 544 runs with a .255 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 41 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 15 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 10-5 with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 127.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Rangers will beat the Phillies
- The Rangers have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last four games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 home games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL West opponents following a road win.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Rangers have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Phillies will beat the Rangers
- The Phillies have won each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
- The Rangers have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Rangers.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rangers’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last six games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four night games against AL West opponents.
Rangers vs Phillies Prediction
Philadelphia poured it on in the ninth inning on Friday to make it look like a blowout, but it was a very competitive game with very good pitching. The Phillies are 29-28 on the road this year, while the Rangers are 36-22 at home. Texas needs to string some wins together and they are starting deGrom, who has allowed five earned runs in two straight outings. Philadelphia is starting Luzardo, who has allowed 3, 0, 6, and 4 earned runs in his last four. Take the over here.