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Rangers vs Yankees Prediction 8-4-25 MLB Picks

NY Yankees (60-52) vs. Texas Rangers (58-55)
August 4, 2025 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers 129 / NY Yankees -157; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and Texas Rangers meet Monday in MLB action at Globe Life Field. Here’s a Rangers vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Rangers vs Yankees Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 60-52 on the year and play the Astros, Twins, and Cardinals next. The New York Yankees are batting .252 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .450 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 129 hits and 85 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 215 hits and 103 RBI.


Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 12-4 with a 2.62 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. This will be Fried’s first career game against the Texas Rangers.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 58-55 on the year and play the Phillies, Diamondbacks, and Blue Jays next. The Texas Rangers are batting .231 on the season, have a .299 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Texas Rangers with 95 hits and 29 RBI while Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia have combined for 187 hits and 118 RBI.

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 6-7 with a 3.78 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 2-1 with a 2.72 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have won each of their last six games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Rangers have lost each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last six games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Monday games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of the Rangers’ last two home games against AL opponents.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded a Double in each of the Rangers’ last three night games.
  • Patrick Corbin has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 12 home games against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six night games.
  • Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last five Monday games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Fried ranks T1st in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction

It’s hard to find confidence in the Yankees with the way they’ve played over the last month and looking lifeless in a sweep to the Marlins. Fried is also coming off a rough July where he allowed 25 hits and 16 earned runs in 26 innings. However, the Yankees are still a good team on paper and Fried has still been one of the best pitchers in baseball. Even with improved play, Corbin has been so awful over the last four years, I still have a hard time backing him. The price is reasonable. I’ll back the Yankees for a much-needed win.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Yankees -157

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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