Rays vs Mets Prediction 9/1/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 1st at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 82-55 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 on Monday night. Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 3-2 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Rays recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Seymour allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.1 innings for the loss, while Matz threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay swept the Padres in three games and won two out of three against the Tigers. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 618 runs with a .260 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 17 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 37 home runs and 87 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Freddy Peralta, who is 6-11 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 141.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 62-76 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-2 last night. New York nearly blew a 3-0 lead in the eighth inning, but they hung on for the win. The Mets recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Stock allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Senga got the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Brewers. 

This season, New York has a 4.07 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 565 runs with a .236 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 22 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 4-6 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 122.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 14 games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have lost eight of their last nine games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against NL opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Tropicana Field against NL opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Mets and Rays.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 home games after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 14 of the Rays’ last 15 games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games as home favorites.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last seven games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the last 11 night games between the Mets and Rays.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit a home run in five of the Rays’ last seven home games against NL opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 14 games.
• Yandy Diaz ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (157) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
• Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against the Rays.
• Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 12 road games against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.260).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (959).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.305).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (175).

Rays vs Mets Prediction 

Tampa Bay had their winning streak snapped on Monday night in game one, but they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four games. The Rays are 46-24 at home this year, while the Mets are 30-37 on the road. New York has won two of their last three games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Mets are starting Manaea, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three straight starts, while Peralta has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five outings. Take the Rays at home here.