Baltimore Orioles (30-40) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (39-32)
June 16, 2025 7:35 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -126 / Baltimore Orioles 104; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 16, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles (30-40, 14-21 Away) bounced back from series losses against the Athletics and Tigers with a sweep of the Los Angeles Angels at home. Following 2-0 and 6-5 wins, the Orioles completed the sweep with an 11-2 victory on Sunday. Gary Sanchez led the offense with four RBI, while Scott Blewett pitched for 2.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on two hits with one strikeout and no walks. Cade Povich was credited with the win.
This season, the Orioles’ average 3.99 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .241/.306/.398 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 4.89 ERA (26th) and 1.40 WHIP (26th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .236 batting average, 11 home runs, and 34 RBI this season.
Zach Eflin will take the mound for the Orioles on Monday. The 31-year-old right-hander has a 6-2 record in nine starts this year with a 4.08 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 53.0 innings.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (39-32, 23-20 Home) responded to a series loss to the Boston Red Sox with something that no other team managed to do this season – the sweep of the New York Mets. Tampa Bay completed the sweep in New York with a comfortable 9-0 victory on Sunday. Junior Caminero led the offense with three RBI, while Shane Baz got the win after allowing no runs on three hits with six strikeouts and four walks across 6.2 innings of work.
This year, the Rays average 4.58 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .248/.316/.393 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.45 ERA (7th) and 1.18 WHIP (3rd). Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .246 batting average, 17 home runs, and 45 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rays is Ryan Pepiot, who is 3-6 in 14 starts this season, with a 3.31 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 81.2 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Orioles’ last five night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Rays’ last five home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rays’ last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (263).
- The Rays rank T26th in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for hits allowed this season (635).
- The Orioles rank 26th in the league for walks this season (199).
Rays vs Orioles Prediction
The Orioles won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Rays were better on three of the last four. Three of those last four went Under, and I am backing another Under in this one. Zach Eflin allowed only four runs in his previous three starts, and I am backing him to register the fourth consecutive quality start here. Ryan Pepiot, on the other hand, has been excellent in May with a 2.2 ERA, and he surrendered five runs in his last four starts. I think both pitchers will get quality starts on Monday. Go with Under.
