Rays vs Orioles Prediction 6/18/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 18, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles (31-41, 15-22 Away) bounced back from series defeats against the Athletics and Tigers with a sweep of the Los Angeles Angels at home. Baltimore then responded to a Game 1 loss against Tampa Bay with a 5-1 victory on Tuesday. Ramon Laureano led the offense with two RBI, while Dean Kremer got the win after allowing one run on four hits with four strikeouts and two walks across 5.0 innings of work.

This season, the Orioles average 3.94 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .240/.305/.396 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 4.92 ERA (26th) and 1.41 WHIP (26th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .228 batting average, 11 home runs, and 34 RBI this season.

Trevor Rogers will take the mound for the Orioles on Wednesday. The 27-year-old left-hander has a 0-0 record in one start this year with a 0.00 ERA and 0.32 WHIP in 6.1 innings.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-33, 24-21 Home) were on a four-game winning run after sweeping the New York Mets, but couldn’t make five in a row after losing Game 2 to the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday. Zack Littell took the loss after allowing three runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and no walks in 6.0 innings.

This year, the Rays average 4.61 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .251/.317/.397 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.42 ERA (5th) and 1.17 WHIP (3rd). Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .254 batting average, 17 home runs, and 46 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rays is Taj Bradley, who is 4-5 in 14 starts this season, with a 4.35 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 78.2 innings.

Why the Orioles will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost each of their last five Wednesday night games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have won each of their last three games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Orioles following a home loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Rays following a road win.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Orioles’ last six night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Rays’ last five games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank T26th in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Rays rank 25th in the league for home runs allowed this season (94).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (656).
• The Orioles rank 26th in the league for walks this season (202).

Rays vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Rays were better in three of the last four. It’s likely going to be a close one on Wednesday, but I am giving a slight advantage to Baltimore, mainly because of Trevor Rogers, who is called back from the minors to continue where he left off. Rogers was impressive in his previous start against the Red Sox, registering a shutout in 6.1 innings. I don’t expect another shutout here, but I am backing Rogers to get a quality start. Taj Bradley is in hot and cold form recently, and he is going to struggle in this one. Back the Orioles.