Astros vs Athletics Prediction 6/18/25 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros are visiting the Athletics on Wednesday, June 18^th at the Sutter Health Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Astros vs Athletics Prediction. We will examine:

The Athletics’ recent form and player performance

The Houston Astros’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Athletics

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros

Recent betting trends in games played between the Houston Astros vs Athletics

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Houston Astros vs Athletics game

Athletics Preview

The Athletics have a 30-45 record this season and are sitting in last place in the AL West. The Athletics have a 13-24 home record and are 41-29 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-13 home defeat by the Astros, which snapped their previous four-game winning streak. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and they are playing the Guardians and the Tigers next.

The Athletics have a .252 batting average this season, a .319 OBP, and a .415 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 5.48 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 98 hits and a team-high .360 batting average, while Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 45 RBI, and Brent Rooker adds a team-high 15 home runs.

Luis Severino (R) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 2-6 record, 4.47 ERA, and 1.30 WHIP. He has been terrible at home, with a 7.10 ERA across nine home starts. He is 1-4 in his last 5 starts with a 4.94 ERA, but he is coming off a quality start against the Royals on the road, where he gave up one run across 7.2 innings of work. In his previous start against the Astros this season, he gave up one run in 6 innings of work. Luis Severino has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.60 and 58 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 42-31 record this season and are sitting in first place in the AL West. The Astros have a 15-18 road record and 29-41 in over/under. They are coming off a 13-3 road victory over the Athletics, and are 6-1 in their last 7 games. Under is 6-3 in their last 9 games, and they are playing the Angels and the Phillies next.

The Astros have a .255 batting average this season, a .320 OBP, and a .398 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with 89 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .317 batting average. Isaac Paredes leads the team in RBI with 44, adding a team-high 15 home runs.

Framber Valdez (L) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 7-4 record, 3.10 ERA, and 1.09 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 3.89 ERA across seven road starts, but he has been in excellent form, having won his last five starts, and he has given up 2 runs or less in six of his last seven starts. Framber Valdez has a 6-4 record with an ERA of 2.64 and 85 strikeouts in 15 appearances against the Oakland Athletics in his career.

Why the Athletics will win

• The Athletics have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Astros following a home loss.
• The Astros have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against the Athletics following a win.
• The Athletics have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three road games against the Athletics following a win.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Athletics have lost each of their last nine night games at Sutter Health Park following a loss.
• The Astros have won six of their last seven games.
• The Astros have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday night games against the Athletics.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Athletics’ last five home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Astros’ last four road games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Athletics’ last 12 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Astros’ last five night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Athletics rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (286).
• The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (110).
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (716).
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).

Astros vs Athletics Prediction

The Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the A’s, but the A’s are 4-3 in their last 7 home meetings. Over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Astros vs Athletics Prediction, the Astros are coming as -160 road favorites. The Astros are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, but they have been below average on the road, and the A’s have been terrible at home. The Astros have the pitching advantage, as Severino has been terrible at home for the A’s and in poor form lately. The Bullpen differential is huge, as the Astros are 5^th in the league, while the A’s are dead last, while the A’s also struggle against lefties, scoring just 3.2 runs per game against left-handed pitching. I expect another easy Astros victory in this one.