Boston Red Sox (8-10) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (8-8)
April 15, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -135 / Boston Red Sox 114; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 15, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox (8-10, 4-7 Away) were in fine form of five consecutive wins, but then they lost the series to the Blue Jays, and more disappointingly, to the White Sox. Another shock came on Monday when the Red Sox suffered a massive 16-1 loss in Game 1 of the series against the Rays. Tanner Houck was destroyed in 2.1 innings as he allowed 12 runs (11 earned) on ten hits with one strikeout and two walks.
This season, the Red Sox average 4.53 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .251/.328/.375 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.75 ERA (14th) and 1.30 WHIP (19th). Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox with a .333 batting average, three home runs, and 12 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox is Walker Buehler, who has a 1-1 record in three starts this year with a 5.74 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 15.2 innings.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (8-8, 8-5 Home) responded to a five-game losing skid with four wins in six games. After being swept by the Rangers, the Rays lost to the Angels but managed to win the series against the Braves. Tampa Bay exploded for 16 runs in a big win over Boston, scoring nine in the 3rd inning. Kameron Misner led the bunch with three RBI, while five other batters had two RBI apiece. Shane Baz got the win after allowing one run on two hits with 11 strikeouts and no walks over 6.0 innings of work.
This year, the Rays average 4.07 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .265/.330/.409 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.53 ERA (8th) and 1.13 WHIP (6th). Brandon Lowe leads the Rays with a .263 batting average, three home runs, and 11 RBI this season.
Ryan Pepiot will take the mound for the Rays on Tuesday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in three starts this season with a 3.38 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 16.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Rays’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Red Sox’s last 10 night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Red Sox’s last 18 night games against American League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (25).
- The Rays rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.276).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (165).
- The Red Sox rank T29th in the league for runs allowed this season (93).
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past few years, as each recorded five in the last ten H2H encounters. The Rays were better in four of the previous five, though. Following a couple of rough starts for his new team, Walker Buehler got his first quality start of the season against Toronto, and I am backing him to log another QS on Tuesday. Ryan Pepiot faced the Red Sox three times last year and posted a solid 3.21 ERA in 14.0 innings. I believe both starters will get quality starts here, and therefore, I am going with Under.
