Rays vs Rockies Prediction Prediction 8/5/26 MLB Picks Today
Tampa Bay Rays (67-46) vs. Colorado Rockies (45-69)
August 5, 2026 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 148 / Tampa Bay Rays -158; Over/Under: 11.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, August 5th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Colorado Rockies Preview
The Colorado Rockies have a 45-69 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL West. They have a 27-31 home record and are coming off a 7-9 home loss against the Rays. They will face the Cardinals and the Dbacks next.
The Colorado Rockies have a .256 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .423 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.52 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. TJ Rumfield is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average. Hunter Goodman leads the team in RBI with 66 and adds a team-high 33 home runs.
Tomoyuki Sugano (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 11-4 record, 4.47 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 67-46 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 26-28 away record and are coming off a 9-7 road win against the Rockies. They will face the Mariners and the Athletics next.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a .259 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 70, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 32 home runs.
Nick Martinez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 10-3 record, 2.77 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: August 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano Record this season: 11-4 ERA: 4.47
- Home Record: 7-2
- Last 5 against Rays: 1-0
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Rockies have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a win.
- The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
- The Rockies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Nick Martinez Record this season: 10-3 ERA: 2.77
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Rockies: 2-1
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Rockies have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the last six games between the Rays and Rockies at Coors Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rockies’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last six games as road favorites.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Mickey Moniak has hit a home run in each of the Rockies’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded three or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Hunter Goodman ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit at least one home run in four of the Rays’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Nick Martinez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
- Chandler Simpson has recorded two or more hits in each of the Rays’ last three games.
- Nick Martinez has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Junior Caminero ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.553) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (209).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.52).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (814).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.259).
Rays vs Rockies Prediction
The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Rockies and have won their last four visits in Colorado.
In this Rays vs Rockies Prediction, the Rays are coming as -155 road favorites. I like the Rockies in this matchup as home dogs with Tomoyuki Sugano on the mound, who has been very good at home with a 3.78 ERA. The Rockies’ offense has been red-hot lately, having scored 7+ runs in their last four games and they also have a better bullpen ERA than the Rays in their last 5 games. I will take a stab with the Rockies at home for plus money in this one.