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Rays vs Rockies Prediction Prediction 8/5/26 MLB Picks Today

Tampa Bay Rays (67-46) vs. Colorado Rockies (45-69)
August 5, 2026 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 148 / Tampa Bay Rays -158; Over/Under: 11.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, August 5th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 45-69 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL West. They have a 27-31 home record and are coming off a 7-9 home loss against the Rays. They will face the Cardinals and the Dbacks next.

The Colorado Rockies have a .256 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .423 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.52 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. TJ Rumfield is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average. Hunter Goodman leads the team in RBI with 66 and adds a team-high 33 home runs.

Tomoyuki Sugano (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 11-4 record, 4.47 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 67-46 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 26-28 away record and are coming off a 9-7 road win against the Rockies. They will face the Mariners and the Athletics next.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a .259 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 70, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 32 home runs.

Nick Martinez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 10-3 record, 2.77 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: August 5, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano      Record this season: 11-4      ERA: 4.47
  • Home Record: 7-2
  • Last 5 against Rays: 1-0

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Rockies have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rays have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a win.
  • The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games.
  • The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
  • The Rockies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Nick Martinez      Record this season: 10-3      ERA: 2.77
  • Road Record: 3-1
  • Last 5 against Rockies: 2-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
  • The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL West opponents.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the last six games between the Rays and Rockies at Coors Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rays’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rockies’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last six games as road favorites.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Mickey Moniak has hit a home run in each of the Rockies’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded three or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Hunter Goodman ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Junior Caminero has hit at least one home run in four of the Rays’ last five games against NL opponents.
  • Nick Martinez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
  • Chandler Simpson has recorded two or more hits in each of the Rays’ last three games.
  • Nick Martinez has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
  • Junior Caminero ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.553) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockies rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (209).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.52).
  • The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (814).
  • The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.259).

Rays vs Rockies Prediction

The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Rockies and have won their last four visits in Colorado.

In this Rays vs Rockies Prediction, the Rays are coming as -155 road favorites. I like the Rockies in this matchup as home dogs with Tomoyuki Sugano on the mound, who has been very good at home with a 3.78 ERA. The Rockies’ offense has been red-hot lately, having scored 7+ runs in their last four games and they also have a better bullpen ERA than the Rays in their last 5 games. I will take a stab with the Rockies at home for plus money in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Colorado Rockies ML

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