Rays vs Yankees Prediction 4/20/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Sunday in MLB action from Steinbrenner Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rays vs Yankees Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Max Fried for the start here and Fried is 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fried is 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA and against the Rays. Ryan Pepiot will get the start for the Rays here and Pepiot is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. This will be Pepiot’s second career start against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to bounce back after falling short in a 10-8 loss at the hands of the Rays on Saturday to slip to 13-8 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.

Yankees Have Five-Game Win Streak Snapped

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 31 hits including 7 home runs, 25 RBIs, 5 doubles and a .397 batting average along with a pair of stolen bases while Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 6 home runs, 12 RBIs and a team-high 5 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 4 doubles with 4 home runs and 16 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 5 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 29 hits with 5 doubles and a .367 batting average while Chisholm Jr. also has a team-high 29 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have lost each of their last five day games following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Yankees following a home win.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last nine road games.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in six of the Yankees’ last seven day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 11 day games.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (31) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to earn the series split after getting in the win column with Saturday’s triumph. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Rays Snap Four-Game Losing Skid

Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays with 22 hits along with a team-high 8 doubles, 4 home runs and 13 RBIs while Brandon Lowe also has 3 home runs with 13 RBIs as well. Junior Caminero has 21 hits with a team-high 5 home runs and 11 RBIs while Jake Mangum’s added a team-high 8 stolen bases so far this season. Yandy Diaz and Kameron Misner each have 4 doubles and 3 home runs while Jose Caballero has 5 stolen bases and Taylor Walls has 4 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have lost eight of their last 12 games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games following a road loss.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Danny Jansen has hit at least one home run in three of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Yankees.
• Taylor Walls has scored a run in five of his last six appearances with the Rays as home underdogs.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Rays’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Jake Mangum ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (8) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Rays vs Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. The Rays have been a solid team against left-handed pitching this season, but I think Max Fried is simply in a groove right now and realistically, he’s not a pitcher I’m looking to step in front of right now. Ryan Pepiot has given up a lot of hard hits so far this season and against a potent lineup like New York’s, I think Pepiot could be in trouble in this one. Give me the Yankees here.