Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction 7/28/26 MLB Picks Today
Boston Red Sox (55-50) vs. Oakland Athletics (42-57)
July 28, 2026 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Oakland Athletics 128 / Boston Red Sox -155; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, July 28th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 44-62 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL West. They have a 20-31 home record and are coming off a 2-4 home loss against the Red Sox. They will face the Tigers and the Reds next.
The Athletics have a .245 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Oakland’s pitching staff has a 5.34 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. Shea Langeliers is the team’s best hitter with a .263 batting average. Nick Kurtz leads the team in RBI with 69, while Shea Langeliers adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Gage Jump (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, and he has a 3-6 record, 4.42 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 55-50 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 30-21 away record and are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Athletics. They will face the Dodgers and the White Sox next.
The Boston Red Sox have a .243 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Willson Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 66, and adds a team-high 22 home runs.
Jake Bennett (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Boston Red Sox, and he has a 6-3 record, 2.58 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.
Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Betting Trends: July 28, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Gage Jump Record this season: 3-6 ERA: 4.42
- Home Record: 1-4
- Last 5 against Red Sox: –
Why the Athletics will win
- The Athletics have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Athletics following a win.
- The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against the Red Sox following a home loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against the Athletics following a win.
- The Athletics have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in five of their last six games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Athletics have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jake Bennett Record this season: 6-3 ERA: 2.58
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Athletics: –
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 road games.
- The Athletics have lost 11 of their last 12 games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.
- The Athletics have lost the first inning in each of their last six Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between the Red Sox and Athletics have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as favorites against the Athletics have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Athletics’ last eight home games against AL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit a home run in four of the Athletics’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gage Jump has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Tyler Soderstrom has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Nick Kurtz ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.401) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Willson Contreras has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Jake Bennett has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances.
- Jake Bennett has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his four previous road appearances.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Willson Contreras ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (164).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (164).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (99).
- The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (99).
Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction
The Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the A’s and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings on the road.
In this Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -150 road favorites. I like the Red Sox to keep rolling in this one with Jake Bennett and his sub-1.00 WHIP. Two of his last three starts have been shutouts and he has been better on the road, while Jump has given up 19 total runs in four of his last five starts and has been bad at home with a 1-4 record and 6.35 ERA. The A’s cannot hit lefties lately so I expect another Red Sox win in this one.