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Red Sox vs Mariners Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/16/23

Seattle Mariners (21-20) vs. Boston Red Sox (22-20)
May 16, 2023 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox +110 / Seattle Mariners -135; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Seattle Mariners have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 12 games. The Mariners have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ty France leads the Mariners with 43 hits and 20 RBI, while Jarred Kelenic and Teoscar Hernandez have combined for 79 hits and 41 RBI. Luis Castillo gets the ball, and he is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. This will be Castillo’s second career game against the Red Sox.

The Boston Red Sox have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Red Sox have lost 7 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Alex Verdugo leads the Red Sox with 48 hits and 18 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Justin Turner have combined for 83 hits and 52 RBI. Nick Pivetta gets the ball, and he is 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. This will be Pivetta’s second career game against the Mariners.

The Mariners are 17-6 in their last 23 Tuesday games and 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series and 1-5 in their last 6 overall. The under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall. The over is 8-3-1 in Red Sox last 12 overall. The Mariners are 19-46 in the last 65 meetings in Boston and 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.

The Boston Red Sox offense has been quiet all week, and it’s not going to be easy to break out of this funk against Luis Castillo. Castillo is looking like his old all star self with a 2.70 ERA and 0.99 WHIP through 46.2 innings. Nick Pivetta also hasn’t been great, with a 6.23 ERA and 1.50 WHIP through 34.2 innings. Give me the M’s and the reasonable price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Seattle Mariners -135

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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