Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction 8/19/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 19th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 68-58 this year after they lost game one by a score of 6-3 on Monday night. Boston cut the deficit to 4-1 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Red Sox recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Duran, who went 1-3 with three RBIs in the loss. Boston started May, who allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Moran and Hicks allowed two earned runs each. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Marlins, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that. Boston has split their last six games and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 629 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with 22 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added 19 home runs and 79 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Walker Buehler, who is 7-7 with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 58-67 this season after they won game one to start this series last night. Baltimore scored the first four runs in the game and they picked up a rather easy win. The Orioles recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Henderson and Basallo, who both had two RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Enns picked up the hold. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Mariners. Baltimore has won five of their last six games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Blue Jays currently sit in 1st place in the standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 543 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 15 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 15 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 10-5 with a 4.13 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 126.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Orioles

• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five road games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four night games against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Why the Orioles will beat the Red Sox

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Orioles and Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Orioles and Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 home games against AL opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore was able to get another win on Monday in game one of this series and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last four games. The Orioles are 28-37 on the road this year, while the Red Sox are 41-24 at home. Boston has lost two games in a row and they are now tied with the Yankees in the East. The Sox are starting Buehler, who has allowed 4, 0, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts. The O’s are going with Sugano, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four outings. I think we are going to see plenty of offense from both sides in this contest, so I like the over here.