Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 6/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 14th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 35-36 this season after they won game one by a score of 2-1 on Friday night. Boston led 1-0 for most of the game, but they blew the lead in the ninth, before getting the win in the 10th. The Red Sox recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rafaela and Narvaez, who both had one RBI in the win. Boston started Crochet, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 8.1 innings, while Whitlock picked up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Yankees. Boston has won five of their last six games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 347 runs with a .254 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage this season. Rafael Devers has led Boston with 14 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Trevor Story has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Hunter Dobbins, who is 3-1 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 49.1 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 42-26 this year after they lost the first game in this series in extra innings. New York was held scoreless over the first eight innings, but they scored once in the ninth, before losing in the 10th. The Yankees recorded just four hits in the game, and they were led by Judge, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. New York started Yarbrough, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Hill was charged with the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees swept the Royals in three games, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that. New York has won three of their last four games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 367 runs with a .258 batting average and a .341 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 26 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added 13 home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 8-4 with a 2.87 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 84.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Yankees

• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last five Saturday games as home underdogs.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games at Fenway Park following an extra innings loss.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Fenway Park.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Yankees at Fenway Park.

Why the Yankees will beat the Red Sox

• The Yankees have won each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven games following an extra-innings win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games at Fenway Park following a win.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Yankees’ last 11 night games at Fenway Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 home games against the Yankees.
• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games as road favorites.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one Double in each of the Yankees’ last three games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup playing very well, and they have found some nice success against the Yankees over the last week. The Red Sox are 20-17 at home this year, while the Yankees are 21-14 on the road. New York has scored one run in each of their last two games, and they will face Dobbins, who has allowed three and four earned runs in his last two starts. New York is starting Rodon, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow five earned runs to Boston last weekend. I think we will see much more scoring in this game than we did on Friday, and I like the over here.