Reds vs Marlins Prediction 7/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Reds vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Reds vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 40-48 on the year and play the Orioles, Royals, and Padres next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 82 hits and 19 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Eric Wagaman have combined for 156 hits and 79 RBI.

Janson Junk gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career game against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 46-44 on the year and play the Rockies, Mets, and Nationals next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .246 on the season, have a .317 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 96 hits and 60 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 168 hits and 68 RBI.

Brady Singer gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 7-6 with a 4.36 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. Singer is 1-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last 23 Monday road games.
• The Reds have won seven of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Marlins at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last 13 games.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Gavin Lux has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two home games against the Marlins.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in five of his six previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (22) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four night games.

Reds vs Marlins Prediction

The Reds are getting the benefit of the doubt at home because they’re the better team overall, but the value is with the Marlins and the plus money. The Marlins have been racking up the wins over the last two weeks, and Junk has been respectable for much of the season. Through 37.1 innings, Junk has a 3.62 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Singer has a 4.36 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, and he’s walked 15 batters in 30 innings. The underrated Marlins offense will have its chances in this spot. Give me the fish on the road.