Reds vs Rays Prediction 7-27-25 MLB Picks
Tampa Bay Rays (53-52) vs. Cincinnati Reds (55-50)
July 27, 2025 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -105 / Tampa Bay Rays -115; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds meet Sunday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Reds vs Rays Prediction. This article will include a Reds vs Rays Pick.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-52 on the year and play the Yankees, Dodgers, and Angels next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .256 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .403 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 114 hits and 61 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 208 hits and 119 RBI.
Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 8-6 with a 4.66 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Baz is 0-1 with a 9.72 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 55-50 on the year and play the Dodgers, Braves, and Cubs next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .248 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 114 hits and 67 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 187 hits and 77 RBI.
Brady Singer gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 7-8 with a 4.84 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. Singer is 1-2 with a 4.13 ERA and 33 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Rays have lost each of their last six road games.
- The Reds have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a win.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five day games at Great American Ball Park.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have lost eight of their last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a road loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Sunday day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last three day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of the Reds’ last seven home games against AL East opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last three home games.
- Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T5th in the league in Steals (28) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last nine day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Jose Caballero ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (33) this season.
Reds vs Rays Prediction
The Rays can’t string together offense in the second half of the season, and now they’re throwing out Baz, who has allowed 27 hits and 15 runs in his last 23.1 innings. If the Rays don’t find offense, this is going to be a long day given Baz’s form. Singer has been a mess for much of the season, and he’s having a rough July, but the Reds are playing with confidence lately and putting up crooked numbers. Pick ’em spot, I’ll gladly side with the Reds at home.