Houston Astros (52-34) vs. Colorado Rockies (19-67)
July 3, 2025 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 152 / Houston Astros -187; Over/Under: 11
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 3, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros (52-34, 20-20 Away) have won nine consecutive series after defeating the Colorado Rockies in the opening two games in Denver. Prior to this one, the Astros beat the likes of the Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies, while the last time they lost a series was in early May. In Wednesday’s 5-3 victory over the Rox, Jose Altuve and Cam Smith led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Hunter Brown got the win after allowing two runs on six hits with eight strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings of work.
This season, the Astros average 4.19 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .255/.320/.398 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Astros’ staff has a 3.49 ERA (6th) and 1.15 WHIP (2nd). Isaac Paredes leads the Astros with a .253 batting average, 17 home runs, and 46 RBI this season.
Brandon Walter will take the mound for the Astros on Thursday. The 28-year-old left-hander has a 1-1 record in five starts this year with a 3.34 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 29.2 innings.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (19-67, 8-34 Home) have now lost four straight series after losing to the Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers, and Milwaukee Brewers. They hope to avoid a sweep against the Astros in Game 3 today. Following a 6-5 loss in the series’ opening game, the Rox lost 5-3 last night. Mickey Moniak led the offense with two RBI, while Austin Gomber pitched for 5-0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on eight hits with one strikeout and one walk. Angel Chivilli took the loss.
This year, the Rockies average 3.53 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .228/.290/.379 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.50 ERA (30th) and 1.55 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .286 batting average, 16 home runs, and 50 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rockies is Kyle Freeland, who is 1-9 in 15 starts this season, with a 5.56 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 77.2 innings.
Why the Rockies will cover
- The Astros have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in four of their last five games at Coors Field against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rockies’ last eight games as underdogs against the Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last five road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last four day games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (853).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.50).
- The Astros rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (627).
- The Astros rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (312).
Rockies vs Astros Prediction
The Astros won nine of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last seven. Although Houston is dominant in this fixture recently and has already beaten the Rockies twice in this series, I can’t say the Astros demolished the hosts, so Colorado surely has a chance to avoid a sweep here. Still, I am not brave enough to back the Rockies to win, but I am backing them to stay close and put up a fight. Kyle Freeland began to bring his ERA down, but had a bad start last time out against Milwaukee. He should respond against Houston, who doesn’t have an atomic offense. Brandon Walter, on the other hand, is coming to Coors Field for the first time in his career, and that could be tricky for the second-year southpaw.
