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Rockies vs Phillies Prediction 4/3/26 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (3-3) vs. Colorado Rockies (2-4)
April 3, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 179 / Philadelphia Phillies -219; Over/Under: 10
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Colorado Rockies meet Friday in MLB action at Coors Field. Here’s a Rockies vs. Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Rockies vs. Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 3-3 on the year and play the Giants and Diamondbacks next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .220 on the season and have a .314 OBP, and a .360 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 5.46 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Justin Crawford leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 7 hits and 1 RBI, while Adolis Garcia and Brandon Marsh have combined for 14 hits and 5 RBI.

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. Nola is 4-2 with a 3.33 ERA and 77 strikeouts in his career against the Colorado Rockies.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 2-4 on the year and play the Astros and Padres next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .231 on the season and have a .279 OBP, and a .358 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. TJ Rumfield leads the Colorado Rockies with 9 hits and 3 RBI while Ezequiel Tovar and Hunter Goodman have combined for 15 hits and 7 RBI.

Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he is 0-0 with a 6.23 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen is 1-4 with a 6.98 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Phillies’ last 12 games.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites.
  • The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at Coors Field.
  • The Rockies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home openers as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Rockies have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against the Phillies at Coors Field.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 games against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road openers against National League opponents.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at Coors Field against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Rockies’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Phillies’ last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as road favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last seven home games against NL East opponents.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in four of his last six home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against former teams.
  • Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jake McCarthy ranks T1st in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five games against the Rockies.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockies rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (9).
  • The Rockies rank 29th in the league for walks this season (13).
  • The Phillies rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.46).
  • The Phillies rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (61).

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction

The season is still young but the Rockies look awful and appear to be one of the worst teams in baseball. I’m just not excited to get behind this team right now, especially if the offense isn’t going to show up. This Phillies lineup should have a field day at Coors and while Nola can be hit or miss, he’s an all-star-caliber pitcher when right. On paper this is a mismatch and I’m not going to get cute. Give me the Phillies and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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