Minnesota Twins (47-49) vs. Colorado Rockies (22-74)
July 18, 2025 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 137 / Minnesota Twins -167; Over/Under: 11
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 18, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins (47-49, 19-29 Away) spent the previous three series at home and won all three after defeating the Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago Cubs, and Pittsburgh Pirates. The Twins were close to sweeping the Pirates, but Pittsburgh escaped with a narrow, 2-1 win. Byron Buxton drove in the lone run for the offense, while Simeon Woods Richardson pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on six hits with three strikeouts and one walk. Jhoan Duran took the loss.
This season, the Twins average 4.19 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .240/.309/.397 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 4.07 ERA (19th) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .289 batting average, 21 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.
Chris Paddack will take the mound for the Twins on Friday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 3-8 record in 19 starts this year with a 4.95 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 100.0 innings.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (22-74, 10-36 Home) finished the first half of the season with seven consecutive series losses. They opened the series against Cincinnati with a win, but lost the following two games, 4-3 and 4-2. Mickey Monian drove in both RBI for the offense in the most recent defeat, while Austin Gomber took the loss after allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 4.1 innings.
This year, the Rockies average 3.50 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .230/.291/.378 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.56 ERA (30th) and 1.57 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .277 batting average, 17 home runs, and 52 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rockies is Kyle Freeland, who is 1-10 in 17 starts this season, with a 5.44 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 89.1 innings.
Why the Rockies will cover
- The Twins have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
- The home team has won six of the Rockies’ last seven games.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rockies’ last four games at Coors Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Twins’ last nine games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Rockies’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rockies’ last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (933).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.56).
- The Twins rank T25th in the league for steals this season (48).
- The Twins rank 22nd in the league for hits this season (771).
Rockies vs Twins Prediction
The Twins won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters. Only three of those ten H2Hs were played in Denver, and the Rockies covered the +1.5 run line in two of those. I am backing them to cover again on Friday because of the pitching matchup. Kyle Freeland has been in okay form lately; he registered four quality starts in his previous six, and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in five of his previous six starts. Chris Paddack, on the other hand, is struggling at the moment; he allowed multiple runs in each of his last seven starts, including 4+ runs in four of them. The Rockies will be looking for a fresh start in the second half and will try not to be the worst-ever team in terms of season record losses, so I am backing them to start on a positive note here.
