Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction 7/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The Kansas City Royals are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday, July 5^th at the Chase Field in the second game of this series, with the Royals having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance

The Kansas City Royals’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks game

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 43-45 record this season and are sitting in 4^th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 22-24 home record and are 46-37 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-9 home defeat by the Royals, and are 2-7 in their last 9 games. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 games, and they are playing the Padres and the Angels next.

The Diamondbacks have a .254 batting average this season, a .328 OBP, and a .448 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.77 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 91 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 72, and in home runs with 28.

Ryne Nelson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 4-2 record, 3.61 ERA, and 1.02 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 42-47 record this season and are sitting in 4^th place in the AL Central. The Royals have a 22-23 road record and are 35-53 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-3 road victory over the Dbacks, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games, and they are playing the Mets and the Pirates next.

The Royals have a .244 batting average this season, a .300 OBP, and a .366 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 103 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 55, adding a team-high 14 home runs.

Michael Wacha (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has a 4-8 record, 3.62 ERA, and 1.26 WHIP.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL West opponents following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Royals and Diamondbacks.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Royals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 road games against National League opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Royals’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last nine Saturday games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games as favorites against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (454).
• The Diamondbacks rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (152).
• The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (215).
• The Royals rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (299).

Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Diamondbacks are 7-4 in their last 11 overall meetings against the Royals, and are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Arizona. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Arizona is coming as -135 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records and exactly 22 home/away wins. Nelson for Arizona has been excellent at home, with a 2.33 home ERA, while Wacha for Kansas City has a 4.53 road ERA. Arizona has a superior offense, and they are better against right-handed pitching, averaging 5.5 runs per game, while the Royals have the worst offense in the league, with just 3.3 runs per game. The Royals have a superior bullpen, so take the Dbacks on the moneyline in the first 5 innings.