Padres vs Rangers Prediction 7/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The Texas Rangers and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Padres vs Rangers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out Jack Leiter for the start here, and Leiter is 4-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Leiter’s first career start against the Padres. The San Diego Padres will start Stephen Kolek here, and Kolek is 3-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. This will be Kolek’s first career start against Texas.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Padres in Friday’s matchup to sit at 43-45 on the year. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a division series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Rangers Looking To Rebound

Corey Seager has 52 hits, including 11 home runs and 24 RBIs, while Adolis Garcia has 69 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs, 49 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 66 hits with 10 doubles, 8 home runs, and 35 RBIs, while Wyatt Langford has 60 hits with 10 doubles, 13 home runs, 31 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases, and Jonah Heim has 8 homers and 23 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 75 hits with 12 doubles, 7 home runs, and 21 RBIs with 8 stolen bases, and Marcus Semien’s added 9 homers and 42 RBIs but has 66 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Padres have lost each of their last eight night games following a win.
• The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Rangers and Padres.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against the Padres.
• Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Rangers from Friday’s game to sit at 47-40 on the year. After this series, the Padres will welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks to town for a division series.

Padres Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Manny Machado has 97 hits, including a team-high 21 doubles, 14 home runs, 51 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases, while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 85 hits with a team-high 15 home runs and 38 RBIs, along with 18 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 93 hits with 17 doubles, 4 triples, 4 home runs, and 33 RBIs, while Jackson Merrill’s added 60 hits with 5 home runs and 28 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 18 doubles and 13 stolen bases this season. Gavin Sheets also has 14 doubles, 13 home runs, and 49 RBIs this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last nine games against the Padres following a loss.
• The Padres have won 14 of their last 15 games against the Rangers.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six home games after going to extra innings.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL opponents.
• Manny Machado ranks T8th in the league in Hits (97) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Padres’ last eight home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Padres vs Rangers Prediction

I’m on the Padres here. I get the case to be made for the Rangers, but I’m just not a fan of Jack Leiter. We saw the offensive struggles for the Rangers rear their ugly head once again on Friday, and I think Stephen Kolek is a decent option for San Diego here to be able to hold it down for the Padres. I’ll back San Diego to win a low-scoring battle here. Give me the Padres.