Royals vs Reds Prediction 5/26/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Royals vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 26th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 29-25 this season after they lost two out of three against Minnesota by scores of 1-3, 4-5, and 2-1. In their game three win, Kansas City tied the game at one in the seventh inning and got the win in the 10th. The Royals recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Fermin and Garcia, who both had one RBI in the win. Kansas City started Bubic, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Estevez got the win and Clarke got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Giants, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that. Kansas City has lost three of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.03 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 179 runs with a .246 batting average and a .301 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with eight home runs and 30 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added five home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Lorenzen, who is 3-5 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 57.1 innings pitched this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 26-28 this year after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 6-13, 6-4, and 8-11. In their game three loss, Cincinnati led 4-2 and 8-3, but they allowed the last eight runs in the game for the loss. The Reds recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Hays, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Lodolo, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Rogers picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did sweep the Guardians in three games before that. Cincinnati has lost four of its last five games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 248 runs with a .245 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with nine home runs and 38 RBIs, while Austin Hays has added six home runs and 24 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 2-5 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Reds will beat the Royals

• The underdogs have won each of the Royals’ last five games at Kauffman Stadium.
• The Royals have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 14 of the Royals’ last 15 games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games after going to extra innings.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have won the first inning in each of their last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last eight games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Fourteen of the Royals’ last 17 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Reds’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Massey has recorded a Double in each of the Royals’ last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Royals’ last eight day games.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last eight games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last eight day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Will Benson has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
• Will Benson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks 4th in the league in Steals (17) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (32).
• The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (130).
• The Reds rank 4th in the league for steals this season (54).
• The Reds rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (484).

Royals vs Reds Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing a series over the weekend, but KC will be at home, and they won on Sunday. The Royals have one of the better pitching staffs in the MLB, but their offense has been very low-scoring. KC is starting Lorenzen, who has been inconsistent in his last five starts. Cincinnati’s offense was great against the Cubs, but their pitching staff allowed 28 runs in three games. The Reds are starting Martinez, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. I don’t trust the KC offense at all, so I will take the Reds on the road.