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San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction 5-12-24 Picks

LA Dodgers (27-14) vs. San Diego Padres (21-21)
May 12, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres +114 / LA Dodgers -135; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will start Walker Buehler here and Buehler is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season In his last five starts against the Padres, Buehler is 2-0 with a 1.60 ERA and 31 strikeouts. Yu Darvish will get the start for the Padres here and is 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. In his last 5 starts against the Dodgers, Darvish is 2-0 with a 1.84 ERA and 24 strikeouts.


Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to win the rubber match of the series after evening the set up at one win apiece thanks to a 5-0 win over the Padres in Saturday’s matchup. The series win would be another feather in the cap of the Dodgers who are going for another series victory after knocking off Miami and Atlanta in back-to-back series.

Dodgers Rolling At The Plate As Usual

Going into Saturday’s matchup, Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 56 hits including a team-high 11 home runs, 15 doubles and 27 RBIs with a .359 batting average while Mookie Betts has 54 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 6 homers and 27 RBIs of his own. Teoscar Hernandez also has 10 home runs with 29 RBIs and a team-high 49 strikeouts. Betts also has 8 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 9 stolen bases.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

The Dodgers have won each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
The Padres have lost seven of their last eight day games against the Dodgers following a loss.
The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Recap

The Padres’ loss to the Dodgers on Saturday puts their series win streak in jeopardy after series wins over the Reds, Diamondbacks, and Cubs in the last two weeks, but the loss dropped the Padres back below .500 on the year.

Padres Still Hitting Well

Entering Saturday’s game, Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 44 hits along with a .324 batting average and 8 doubles with 6 homers and 27 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 26 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted a team-high 7 home runs this season. Manny Machado has 5 home runs and 22 RBIs but also has 36 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 30 hits with 2 triples, 4 doubles, 5 home runs, 21 RBIs and a team-high 8 stolen bases. Tatis Jr. also has a team-high 40 strikeouts and 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The Padres have won each of their last five games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
The Dodgers have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Padres following a win.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a win.
The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a loss.

San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the under here. This to me just sets up as a through and through pitcher’s duel between two of the better options in their respective rotations. Buehler has top-shelf stuff and as the reps come back to him, he’s going to get more and more comfortable and get back to the Buehler we’ve come to expect the last few years. On the other side of it, Darvish has had a history of shutting down his former team, and I think this sets up as a low-scoring matchup. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 8.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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