Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) vs. San Diego Padres (91-71)
October 7, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -112 / Milwaukee Brewers -107; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego Padres and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will send out Walker Buehler for the start here and Buehler was 9-6 with a 4.63 ERA and 131 strikeouts in the regular season. The Milwaukee Brewers did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to force a game 4 after a nail-biting 4-3 win over the Padres in game three to keep their season alive.
Padres Looking To Stave Off Elimination
ernando Tatis Jr. leads the Padres with a team-high 181 hits while adding 32 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs, and 83 RBIs so far this season. Manny Machado paces San Diego in power, leading the team with 30 home runs and 91 RBIs alongside 128 hits and 22 doubles on the year. Jackson Merrill has contributed 156 hits with 26 doubles, 5 triples, 26 home runs, and 87 RBIs. Xander Bogaerts has logged 120 hits with 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs, and 57 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has chipped in 77 hits with 16 doubles, 17 home runs, and 48 RBIs for the Padres up to this point in the season.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to close out the series after falling short against the Padres in game three.
Brewers Looking To Return To NLCS
Brice Turang leads the Brewers across the board with a team-high 156 hits and 100 RBIs while adding 37 doubles, 3 triples, and 21 home runs so far this season. William Contreras has added 153 hits with 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs, and 94 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has contributed 152 hits with 27 doubles, 25 home runs, and 75 RBIs on the year. Jake Bauers leads Milwaukee with a team-high 26 home runs while logging 127 hits, 22 doubles, 2 triples, and 86 RBIs. Garrett Mitchell has recorded 121 hits with 30 doubles, 4 triples, 11 home runs, and 65 RBIs, while Sal Frelick has chipped in 78 hits with 18 doubles, 4 home runs, and 40 RBIs for the Brewers up to this point in the season.
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: October 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Walker Buehler Record this season: 9-6 ERA: 4.63
- Home Record: 5-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: 2-0
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last 12 road playoff games.
- The Padres have won each of their last 11 games as home favorites.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Padres following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in 14 of their last 15 games as favorites.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight playoff games as favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 10 night games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Brewers following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last nine games at Petco Park.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against the Brewers following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last seven playoff games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last six games as underdogs.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last six night games between the Brewers and Padres.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Walker Buehler has recorded four or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 19 home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 15 games as favorites.
- Gavin Sheets has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (181) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two night games.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances.
- Jake Bauers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (164).
- The Padres rank 24th in the league for doubles this season (234).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’m backing the Brewers. It’ll be interesting to see who Milwaukee sends out here and I’m aware that Walker Buehler has been one of the more profitable options for the Padres on the bump this season. However, the Padres used a lot of arms on Tuesday and are still without Mason Miller who ended up on the Paternity List at the worst possible time. I think this is just the Brewers’ time and I’m looking for them to get the job done here. Give me Milwaukee.jackson m
