NY Yankees (36-17) vs. San Diego Padres (27-27)
May 26, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres +105 / NY Yankees -125; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Yankees and San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs NY Yankees Prediction.
NY Yankees Betting Preview
The NY Yankees look to complete the sweep before taking on the Angels and Giants. The NY Yankees have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The NY Yankees have won 15 of their last 16 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Juan Soto leads the NY Yankees with 64 hits and 43 RBI, while Anthony Volpe and Aaron Judge have combined for 114 hits and 62 RBI.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres look to get back to a .500 record before playing the Marlins and Royals. The San Diego Padres have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games. The San Diego Padres have lost 4 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 60 hits and 32 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 104 hits and 61 RBI.
NY Yankees vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup
Clarke Schmidt gets the ball for the NY Yankees, and he is 5-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Schmidt has allowed 16 hits and 5 runs in his last 24.2 innings. Schmidt has a 1.47 ERA and .198 allowed batting average in 30.2 road innings. This will be Schmidt’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
Joe Musgrove gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-4 with a 6.14 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Musgrove has allowed 7 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 9 innings. Musgrove has a 5.85 ERA and .285 allowed batting average in 32.1 home innings. This will be Musgrove’s second career game against the NY Yankees.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last six road games.
- The Padres have lost each of their last five games at Petco Park.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six road games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at Petco Park.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six road games.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six road games.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last five games against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jake Cronenworth has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
- Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
- Joe Musgrove has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in day games.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last five games against the Yankees.
- Joe Musgrove has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last four games against NL opponents.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last seven games.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one Double in three of the Yankees’ last four road games.
- Aaron Judge has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Yankees’ last four games against NL opponents.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (474).
- The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (489).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (80).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.438).
San Diego Padres vs NY Yankees Prediction
As I’ve said in past write-ups, I want nothing to do with the San Diego Padres, a talented but underachieving team, and that’s been the case for years now. Joe Musgrove is also a shell of what he was last season, and pitching at home hasn’t helped much. This Yankees lineup should have a field day with what Musgrove has shown us this year. Clarke Schmidt has been money this season with an ERA well under 3, and he’s had some of his best games on the road. Getting the Yankees at this soft of a price feels like a steal. I like the Yankees to sweep the Padres on Sunday afternoon.
