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San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4-27-24 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (16-10) vs. San Diego Padres (14-14)
April 27, 2024 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -118 / Philadelphia Phillies +108; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Petco Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-10 this season after wins over the White Sox and Reds. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 10 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 9 of their last 10 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 37 hits and 9 RBI, while Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh have combined for 56 hits and 38 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres look to get back to a .500 record after losses to the Blue Jays and Rockies. The San Diego Padres have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 games. The San Diego Padres have won 9 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 28 hits and 15 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Jurickson Profar have combined for 55 hits and 30 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 4-0 with a 1.36 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 2 earned runs in his last 28 innings and has 25 strikeouts to go with 4 walks during that span. Suarez has the best WHIP in baseball and the sixth-best ERA. Suarez is an early CY Young contender. Suarez is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-1 with a 1.82 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 4 earned runs in his last 25 innings while striking out 29 and walking 9. Cease has allowed 2 or less earned runs in each of his first 5 starts. This will be Cease’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

San Diego Padres Team Facts

  • The Padres have won each of their last five night games against the Phillies at Petco Park following a home loss.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost the first inning in each of their last three night games at Petco Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games.
  • The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home night games.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday night road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three night games.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres prediction

The Phillies and Padres are both capable of lighting the scoreboard on fire, but I’m still leaning toward the under in this game. Ranger Suarez should be in CY Young conversations and has allowed 2 earned runs in his last 28 innings. Dylan Cease has an ERA under 2 on the season and seems to be getting better by the game. This has a chance to be a pitching battle where runs are hard to come by. Give me the under between the Phillies and Padres.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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