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San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8-30-24 MLB Picks

Miami Marlins (49-85) vs. San Francisco Giants (67-68)
August 30, 2024 10:15 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants -265 / Miami Marlins +215; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 30th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 67-68 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. San Francisco is coming off of a series loss against Milwaukee, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Giants lost two out of three against the Mariners, won two out of three against the White Sox, and split two games with the Athletics. San Francisco is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL West. 


The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 576 runs with a .241 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .244 with 21 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Giants this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 49-85 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Miami is coming off of a series split with Colorado, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Cubs, lost all three against the Diamondbacks, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 508 runs with a .241 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .249 with 25 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Blake Snell, who is 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 79.0 innings pitched this year. Snell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Adam Oller, who is 1-1 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 10.1 innings pitched this year. Oller struggled in his first start against the Diamondbacks, but he pitched much better against the Cubs last time out. 

Why the Giants will beat the Marlins

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games at Oracle Park following a win.
  • The Giants have won each of their last eight home games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games following a road win.
  • The Giants have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Giants have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Marlins at Oracle Park.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Giants’ last six home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last four games against National League opponents.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Chapman has hit a home run in three of the Giants’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Giants’ last six games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded a Double in four of his five previous appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
  • Blake Snell has recorded 11+ strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
  • Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Giants as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Giants as favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games against NL West opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games against NL West opponents.
  • Jake Burger has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last six Friday games.
  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last six Friday games.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last six night games.

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

San Francisco comes into this series with three teams between them and the Braves, who are in the third Wild Card spot, so they need to find wins in a hurry. The Giants are 38-28 at home this year and they play their best baseball at Oracle Park, while the Marlins are just 24-41 on the road. Miami was able to earn a series split against the Rockies, but this is a tough matchup for them. San Francisco is starting Blake Snell, who has been dominant over the last two months. Take the Giants to win by at least two runs here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Giants -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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