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Giants vs Mets Prediction 7-27-25 MLB Picks

NY Mets (61-44) vs. San Francisco Giants (54-51)
July 27, 2025 11:10 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants +115 / NY Mets -135; Over/Under: 75
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The New York Mets and the San Francisco Giants meet Sunday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Giants vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will start Kodai Senga here, and Senga is 7-3 with a 1.79 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. This will be Senga’s second career start against the Giants. The San Francisco Giants did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over the Giants from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 61-44 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road again for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Mets Win Streak Hits Six

Pete Alonso has 104 hits with 26 doubles, 22 home runs, 80 RBIs, and a .272 batting average, while Juan Soto has 91 hits with 15 doubles, 24 home runs, and 59 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 101 hits with 16 stolen bases along with 18 doubles, 19 home runs, and 57 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs and 25 RBIs, but also has 66 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 97 hits with 18 doubles and 19 home runs, and 57 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 10 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 12 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Giants have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have won each of their last six games.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games against NL West opponents.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games following a loss.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Kodai Senga has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Starling Marte has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances.
  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games.
  • Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Mets on Saturday to sit at 54-51 on the year. After this series, the Giants will take on the Pirates in a home series.

Giants Drop 8 Of Their Last 10 Games

Jung Hoo Lee has 90 hits, including a team-high 20 doubles along with 8 triples, 6 home runs, and 41 RBIs with 6 stolen bases, while Heliot Ramos has 104 hits with 19 doubles, 14 home runs, and 50 RBIs. Wilmer Flores also has 12 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Mike Yastrzemski has 8 home runs with 28 RBIs and 14 doubles, and Tyler Fitzgerald has a team-high 9 stolen bases as well on the year. Matt Chapman also has 69 hits with 14 home runs and 38 RBIs, along with 14 doubles, and Willy Adames has 86 hits with 16 doubles, 15 home runs, and 53 RBIs.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Giants have won 13 of their last 16 day games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mets have lost four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have covered the run line each of their last six Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Jung Hoo Lee has recorded a Double in each of the Giants’ last three home games against NL opponents.
  • Matt Chapman has hit a home run in each of the Giants’ last two day games.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last six games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Giants’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Mets’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Giants vs Mets Prediction

I’m siding with the Mets here. I get the case to be made for a home underdog in some spots, but in fairness, it’s just so hard to get behind the Giants in their current form with the issues that this team has at the dish. The Mets have had peaks and valleys and admittedly have been harder to back on the road, but they’re just in a run of form right now that I think they could be rolling into August hot. Give me the Mets in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: NY Mets -135

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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